(under construction — more current statistics coming soon)

The U.S. Department of Justice 2003 report (p2) says

• recidivism rate is about 3.5% for a new sex offense after 3 years from prison release.
• 68% of inmates who served time for a variety of non-sex crimes were re-arrested. 8% of them were for a sex crime.
• 47% of inmates who served time for rape, sexual assault, or child molestation were re-arrested, but only
  • 5.3% of them were for a new sex crime, and 
  • 3.5% were convicted for a new sex crime.

(see p2 https://bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/rsorp94.pdf)